Summary
Full Transcript
How do wars end? If wars start as a consequence of bargaining failure, then they must end when the parties eliminate the bargaining friction. This lecture explains how that happens, the new obstacles that can arise along the way, and how third parties may manipulate the situation. 0:00 Why War Termination Matters 1:14 Overview 9:37 Statistical Trends of War Termination 13:07 How Wars Don't End 14:41 Resolving Substantive Disagreement 19:45 How War Creates New Bargaining Frictions 24:12 Why Peace Deals Are Self-Enforcing 26:52 The Principle of Convergence 32:21 Terminating Power Shifts 34:40 Shuttle Diplomacy 40:14 Information-Provision Mediation 50:07 Peace Subsidies 53:07 Economic Sanctions 53:56 The Inherent Problem of Power Transfers 56:43 How Interventions Exacerbate Asymmetric Information Problems 59:53 How Interventions Mitigate Asymmetric Information Problems 1:01:54 How Interventions Mitigate Power Shifts 1:03:10 Selective Punishment and Credibility 1:06:12 The Critical Barrier to Civil War Settlement 1:10:40 Conclusion The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) and NATO visual information does not imply or constitute an endorsement. Media licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/): By IDF: https://www.twz.com/news-features/israel-vows-to-maintain-air-superiority-over-iran
