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In this class, we started by looking at the use of sensitivity analysis and simulators to enrich the discussion of uncertainty. I mentioned a book by Edward Tufte on visualizing information that I recommend strongly (not for this class, but for life in general: http://www.amazon.com/Visual-Display-Quantitative-Information/dp/0961392142 It is a great book! I also talked about Crystal Ball in class. You have access to it as a student at Stern and you can also download a free, full-featured trial version from Oracle: https://www.oracle.com/middleware/technologies/crystalball.html The only bad news is that it is available only for the PC. As a Mac user, I have to open my Mac as a PC (which kills me) and use Office for Windows (which kills me even more, since I don’t know any of the neat short cuts or where things are in the tool bar). Slides: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/podcasts/cfspr21/session14slides.pdf Post class test: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/cfovhds/postclass/session14test.pdf Post class test solution: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/cfovhds/postclass/session14soln.pdf
